Month: January 2019

Cold Stove Season

Dunkirk NY – Spring training is exactly two weeks away, and as of right now neither Manny Machado nor Bryce Harper have signed a contract to play baseball. Neither have other key free agents like Mike Moustakas, Dallas Keuchel, Craig Kimbrel, and others. There’s a new game in town, and by “new game” I don’t mean the game on the field. It’s the off-season of signing free agents that has changed dramatically.

This is the second year in a row where the off-season hot stove has chilled significantly to the point where teams wait out all the big free agents in the hope that they can sign them for much less money and years than they are demanding. The benchmark signing rate for both Machado and Harper was supposed to be 10-years/$300MM, and so far there is no indication that these numbers are being offered by anybody. Even a team like the Philadelphia Phillies, who have money to burn, could sign both players, and actually need both players, have not gone out and offered “stupid money” to either player.

It’s the players that seem to be behind in this game. Owners have amassed massive analytical teams that tell them that signing a player – any player – to a long-term high-dollar contract is financially a losing proposition. Players and their agents have not yet caught up to this reality; they continue to hold out for more years. Perhaps the most telling sign for this new reality came with the signing of Patrick Corbin, who went for the extra year offered by the Nationals rather than take the 5-year contract offered by his hometown team the NY Yankees. It was a real eye-opener when the Yankees, who have a long history of signing expensive free agents, refused to add the extra year on to their offer. They had the money, they had the need, but Cashman would not move on the number of years. You would think that’s a trivial thing – what’s one more year on a contract to the Yankees? – but they did not go in that directions. They stuck with what their analytics team told them was the best value they could offer to a player.

We are now in a moment where the owners seem to hold all the cards. They have a contract arrangement which allows teams to control and repress salaries for seven years before a player hits free agency, because the players’ union tends to favor contracts for veterans more than for rookies. Owners have also figured out that they can make just as much money by putting players with league-average WAR values (about +2) on the field as they can with a Machado, who has something like a +6WAR over his 7-year career. Teams have also looked at other long-term contracts given out over the years and have the numbers to show that 10-year contracts generally do not end well for the team (Albert Pujols); there are few to no bargains out there for 10-year contracts, even when you’re talking about players like Harper and Machado, who are both only 26 and are hitting free agency at very young ages.

Contract negotiations will be coming up soon, and at this point it looks like owners really have no reason to bargain with players, because players have nothing really to offer owners in a deal. The current MLB contract gives owners a great deal of control, the ability to keep younger players’ salaries down, and the ability to use analytics to offer less money and years than in the past. About all the players have to offer to a cap on contract lengths, perhaps offering a 5-year cap on all free agent contracts in return for more money in the early years of their career. Or perhaps there is a way they can create a situation where contracts can easily be tied to clear benchmarks. Or perhaps contracts will become much more incentive-laden. At any rate, we are seeing a very seismic shift in how free agents are handled in this new market reality. It seems the burden is on the Players’ Union to get creative, or management’s analytical teams will continue to burn players during the hot stove season.  -twl

Posted by poorplayer in All Posts, The Joy of Baseball

Who Is A Book For?

Dunkirk NY – I often think about writing a book. I guess it’s what any retired academic is supposed to do. Being in the arts, a book was never expected of me in terms of getting tenure. Yet often, whenever I spoke about some of the ideas I’ve had about theatre and acting, I usually get encouraged to write a book. But every time I think about it, I always ask the question – who is the book for? Continue reading →

Posted by poorplayer in Academia, All Posts, North of Sixty, Theatre

The Retirement Scam?

Dunkirk NY – I am getting ready to head to Massachusetts later this week. I’m going to my brother John’s house to spend a week caring for my mother while he and his wife take a vacation in Jamaica, I believe. My brother James is a member of the jam band moe., and I believe this is the week where they go down to Jamaica and play for three nights in an all-inclusive resort. John is a big fan, and follows the band whenever he can. So to give him a break, my wife and I go when we can to care for Mom.

Since my father’s death, my mother’s frailty has become more evident. At 89, she has some mild dementia going on. Her moods are darker than I remember, and she is slightly paranoid. She wants very much to be independent, but she is no longer able to live on her own. She can still get around well enough to do a little shopping here and there, but not like in the old days. No driving, of course. She has no evident health issues other than a recent event where she was retaining fluid in her legs. Her blood pressure is better than mine, her eyesight is still good, but her hearing is very diminished. She pretends to read, she watches television (Blue Bloods is her favorite), and she loves the movie Sister Act 2. When I go to take care of her, I can see what’s in store for me. She is only 22 years older than I am.

I often wonder if in today’s culture we are being sold a bill of goods about retirement. I read a lot about retirement finances, simply because we are now living off my retirement savings, and so often the articles are either very positive or very negative. I am either going to lose all my money because of some unforeseen disaster, or die with a bunch of money not spent. Social Security is going to be fixed, or it’s going to run out of money. Volatility in the stock market will cut my savings in half (the money in my savings, after all, is not real. It’s just numbers on paper until I take it out.). And of course, what age will become the “next” age. Will I be hearing at 90 that “90 is the new 75”?

If you were to go simply by the articles and the general upbeat and positive aspects of retirement information, you might be forgiven if you came to the conclusion that somehow you will remain at 90 exactly as you are when you retire at 65. Over the weekend I read this article from the NY Times written by a reporter who is following around a collection of older New Yorkers, all over 93.  Three live in assisted living facilities, one remains in his own apartment (he also continues to pursue his career at 96). Two of his original subjects passed away. The article is a good dose of positive and negative news; while health issues for each abound, they are all still mentally fit and, to some extent, continue to be active. But the activity is always slow-paced, something of a struggle, and in most cases, assisted.

Articles like this one and this one attempt to spread the idea that retirement needs to be re-imagined. Yet I cannot escape the feeling that the whole modern zeitgeist around retirement is one that attempts to get people not to think about death. We have always worshiped youth in this country, and have never valued age or wisdom. And increasingly, society is leaving people on their own to develop their own retirement plans to insure financial stability/survival. Businesses are cutting pension plans, states are not fully funding civil service pension plans and reducing payouts to current pensioners, and Social Security is always a political football. Like everything else in this modern era, the advertised image of retirement, as well as the painted ideal of retirement, becomes another “American Dream” to pursue. Have a second career; re-invent yourself; take that European trip; buy that RV and travel America full-time; move to that house in Florida or Arizona. I have yet to read the article that suggests you stay in your home, plant a garden, read, watch a little television, and simply relax. It’s always about going and doing; it’s never about being.

I don’t really yet know what to make of it all. America is a society that has always been on the move, and the consumer capitalist mentality that is at the heart of it all consistently prods us to be more, do more, succeed more. When, I wonder, are we ever done with all that? As I get set to care for my mother, make sure she takes her medication, keep her moving as much as I can, and help her get in and out of bed, I’ll be staring in a mirror showing me my ultimate future should I manage to live that long. It’s that mirror image, I think, that gives me the most anxiety about how to proceed with my own life. Balance, as always, will be essential. The most important concept for me, however, is not to get caught in the retirement hype. One thing I hope I can achieve is not to let the zeitgeist dictate my own approach. Yes, I will travel; yes, I will drive my RV; yes, I will check out Arizona – but it has to be on my terms and in my own manner. All I need to do is figure out what manner that is.  -twl

Posted by poorplayer in All Posts, North of Sixty, retirement

Living and the Dead

Dunkirk NY – It doesn’t take much to realize I’ve been absent since last writing in  early June. Apart from More Light, the last post I wrote was June 4, 2018. On June 9, 2018, my father passed away rather unexpectedly at the age of 89. During a family reunion he had organized to celebrate his and my mother’s birthdays, he had a massive coronary event. At 12:30pm I was chatting with him as he sat in one of his chairs in my brother’s house, where the gathering took place. At 5:30pm I was staring at his lifeless body off the emergency room of the local hospital. It’s been downhill since then.

I am not sure I would call what followed a period of depression. I think of it more as a period of disinterest. But I can’t deny his death brought about a few changes in my situation. He died while I was in the middle of rehearsals for King Lear, and the ensuing rehearsals and performances allowed me to stay busy until the show’s run was completed. After the show closed, I returned to help my brother settle our mother into the in-law apartment he had built into his new house for just this eventuality. It had become clear during the ensuing weeks after his death that my father had been covering for my mother’s growing dementia. I am now part of the three-brother team assisting her in getting through the days. I’m fully in that phase of life where I am helping to take care of my mom. Adjusting to this new reality has been a major part of the reason I stopped writing.

In the months that followed, death seemed to be stalking me. My oldest friend Tony died September 21 at the VA Hospital in New York City, and as he had no family, I ended up being the one who had to attend to his final affairs. My mother’s brother, my uncle Armando, died in early December, and on this Christmas Day past a good colleague and friend for 30 years, Mac Nelson, died; again, suddenly. This list does not account for the deaths of 3 other people I had worked with in the past in Buffalo theatre.

Given these events and more (a minor knee operation which still put me down for 5 weeks in October), I began to grow disinterested in many things. It has seemed as if I had lost control of living in some ways, because the schedule of things I had planned to do did not happen. The old saying “life happens while you’re busy making plans” seemed quite true. No solo camping trip to Yellowknife; no two-month fall trip in the RV.  November arrived, darkness and winter has set in, and since Thanksgiving the weather in these parts has been nothing but grey and rainy, with little to no sunlight for long stretches of time. Filling the days has become a challenge.

All these deaths have put into sharp relief the notion that I have a short time left. And the thing is, it isn’t a matter simply of time. It’s also a matter of deterioration. It is 23 years until I turn 90, but how many years is it before I become physically unable to fend completely for myself? How long before I can no longer hike an entire day? How long before travel becomes impossible? What health complications lie ahead? In short, I may had those 23 years ahead, but what will the quality of those years be?

I have some catching up to do here, and I will probably be doing that over the course of the next few weeks. 2019 does look at this point like a busy year already. I have two shows booked, and a 4-week stretch of time scheduled to spend in AZ in Feb/March. I have applied to become a volunteer driver for the Disabled American Veterans (DAV), driving vets to medical appointments, but so far the process has been agonizingly slow, and I haven’t started up yet (and may not until April). I would like to get back in the writing habit if I can, because for one thing it fills time in the day, and for another, it should have some effect in sharpening up my writing skills.

I would say right now I remain unfocused in terms of what I would like to accomplish in the next few years, and I am also still unfocused in terms of how I spend my days. As 2019 begins, I need to spend time reclaiming both my daily routine as well as long-range goals. I need to overcome this general sense of disinterest in life around me. The quieter, slower, more self-directed pace of retirement has, I believe, become my greatest challenge of all, because I have no external motivating factors involved.  My three-year period of de-compression has one more year to go, and I need to spend this year transitioning from that sense of release to something that is more active. It doesn’t have to be large-scale projects, but I do have to learn to invent and execute my own projects. I have to choose to do things, such as choosing to write this post today. Didn’t someone write somewhere that hell is having to make choices?  -twl

Posted by poorplayer in All Posts, North of Sixty, retirement